Using the Gods to beat the odds.

Results For Week 20 – 2023-24

Hmm, not sure whether this is yet another kick in the knackers or just one of them weeks. I’m not going to be hard on myself, so I’m just taking it as being one of those weeks. Looking at the trades, it was the large trade on Man City to win at Liverpool that cost me my £98.84 loss. Otherwise I would have been looking at a pretty much break even week. Here’s a breakdown of my losses for week 20:

Saturday got off to a very good start with a £68.60 profit for backing the 1-1 draw between Palace and Luton. This profit was reduced when Arsenal beat Brentford 2-1. Unfortunately I had backed 1-0, 2-0, and AOH. I did have thoughts of backing 2-1 but decided to go against my gut and trust my selections. Hey-ho!

The West Ham vs Burnley match seen my profits sink further, as my selections were more towards a West Ham win. Unfortunately that never happened. As soon as Burnley scored their second, that was all my correct score-line selections out of the window. Then came the big match of Liverpool vs Man City. With Man City at good odds this would have been a good profitable trade should it have come in. The problem with my ‘bet on Man City to win until the end of the season’ strategy, is that you have to see the trades out until the end. You shouldn’t trade out. So there’s no trading out even when Man City go ahead. So on this basis I stayed in the trade and this cost me £100 as Liverpool equalised. From there on in it was pretty much Liverpool being on top, apart from Man City hitting the post. Eventually the game came to an end and the result stayed 1-1.

The last trade of the week saw me lay Chelsea versus Newcastle. It looked like good value to me as I don’t see Chelsea as being the team they once were, hence my decision. I decided to watch the match, and it did seem that Chelsea were on top for much of it, so when the game went to 2-1 in Chelsea’s favour I decided to accept my losses and come out of the trade. Here’s a breakdown of my weekly profit and loss figures:

Yet another dip on the graph but I’m optimistic in pulling some of this back. Steps have been made to rectify this downturn, and hopefully turn around my fortunes. The chances of me breaking even or even making a profit are very slim, but it’s still something to aim for. I’m hoping to be putting something in place for next weekend’s games rather than this, so as not to rush things and make mistakes.

There’s not many Premier League games this weekend, but I’ll keep my eye out to see if anything takes my fancy. Not sure whether to bet on Man City to win against Newcastle, due to it being an FA Cup game and anything can happen. But having watched Newcastle on Monday I wasn’t impressed, and I can see Pep wanting to make a statement after his team’s inferior performance against Liverpool on Sunday. The only thing stopping me is the odds being a little too short for me. I’ll weigh it up nearer the time. Another match that has caught my eye is the Man United versus Liverpool game. Liverpool seem good odds at close to evens, especially after their game against Man City on Sunday. Plus there’s also the fact that some familiar faces are returning to the Liverpool side. It’s going to be a tough match, but I can see Liverpool making their way into the semi-finals.

Right, I’m going to leave it there. I hope you all have a good week’s trading. And remember, may the Lord be with you. Always!

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