What was it that the commentator said when Ste Gerard scored Liverpool’s first goal in their 3 goal comeback against AC Milan in Instanbul – “oh hello!” Now I’m not saying that there’s any chance that I’m going to make back £800+ to break even for the season, but it’s good to finally get a large chunk of profit that helps to claw back some of my losses and give me some hope. Here’s a break down of how I made a profit of £82.12 for week 23:

As you can see from looking at these results, two of my 5 profitable trades this week were made from the ‘bet on City to win’ strategy, which has been going on for a number of weeks now. I’m still in the red following this strategy, but it’s good to see some green, even though it may not be a great amount. Looking at City’s next game, Luton at home, I doubt I’ll be putting any money on a City home win, as the odds are currently only 1.11 on the Betfair Exchange. What I may do, is just wait to see if Luton score and then take it from there. I did something similar on Saturday. I already bet on Man City to win before a ball was kicked, but when they went a goal down to Palace I decided to add to the bet but obviously at the now higher odds.

Also, I decided to trade the correct score in the Palace vs City game. I decided to only bet on AOA as I thought the odds for this selection offered great value. I don’t think Palace are as good in defence as when they were when Roy Hodgson was there. Fortunately my bet came in with quite a bit of the match left to play, sparing my nerves for another weekend. This bet turned out to be my biggest win of the week.

Onto the Man Utd vs Liverpool match, and before the game I heard a stat that said Liverpool had only won 2 games with Klopp against Man Utd at Old Trafford. This caught me quite off-guard and made me rethink my betting strategy for this game. Looking at Liverpool’s odds pre-match, I decided to lay them as the lay odds seemed to offer good value in my opinion. This was my second most profitable trade of the week.

My biggest loss was when I used my profit from the Man Utd vs Liverpool game and bet on a few correct score predictions in the Spurs vs Forest game. Easy come, easy go! I was in two minds whether to leave the trades or not and end the week on a high. But in this game, you’ve got to have faith in yourself and be open to risk, and unfortunately in this instance the trades didn’t go my way.

Here’s how Week 23’s results have affected my profit and loss for this season so far:

I’m still almost £800 down for the season, but I’m quite buoyed by my profitable week. It’s even got me thinking that I could break even for the season. But I do recognise this as me “chasing” my previous losses, and it’s something I’m trying not to entertain. I’m just going to focus on trading what’s in front of me, and not do anything stupid. It’s good to feel the confidence returning though, and hopefully this renewed confidence will help me as we are slowly rounding the corner and coming in for the home straight as the season is drawing to an end. Here’s a pictural representation of the table above:

Well, that’s it from me for this week. I’m going to have a look and see what the weekend has in store, and if there’s anything interesting then I’ll let you know. Good luck if you’re trading throughout the week, or just leaving it until this weekend. And remember peeps…the Lord is with you. Always!