It’s on! The challenge of getting below -£500 total loss for the season is well and truly on! Week 28 turned out to be the second highest profitable week for the season for me, with a nice sum of £131. Here’s a breakdown of how that profit was achieved:

I don’t usually dip into any Champions League matches, but I thought I’d take a dive into the Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich game, as I had a strong feeling as to how the match would flow. Those feeling were strongly aligned to a Real win, but when Bayern scored first it certainly made me question about getting involved in this trade. Fortunately Real had a late rally and managed to score 2 goals in succession which meant both my correct score and match result predictions came in. I did put this down to a lot of luck that I made a profit from this match, but I’m not going to be beating myself up about it possibly going against me, as there has been many, many, many times were my trades have resulted in a loss due to a late goal or two. Thinking about how trades could have gone against you can dent your confidence, and you start thinking that this is a game of chance, and it’s the luck that getting you the results as opposed to it being your skillset and research. But for some reason, people don’t think about it the other way around when their trades go against them. For losing trades they put it down to themselves not being good enough, as opposed to being unlucky. I guess it depends on whether you see your glass as being half-full or half-empty. I’m a half-empty kind of guy, but I’m slowly learning to change my mindset and be more positive about things. This will not be an overnight thing, and I realise that it will take time. Little changes help towards achieving this. I’ve even noticed that slight changes in how I word things, or say things, helps towards a more positive outlook. If you too are a half-empty kind of person, try it. It makes a difference.

Onto the weekend and the only Saturday game that I liked the look of was Fulham vs Man City. The odds never got high enough for me to put my £100 on City to win, but I made some money from that market anyway as I put some on reduced odds after City had scored the first goal. Looking back, I should have stayed away as the risk to reward ratio was too great, but I felt that once City had taken the lead, there was only ever going to be one result. The correct score prediction came in easily enough, so that helped towards the profits very nicely. I chose 0-1, 0-2, and AOA, and traded out of these as the goals went in.

For Sunday’s United vs Arsenal game I thought it was going to be quite close, and it seemed to turn out that way. Well, a lot closer than many thought anyway. I decided to lay Arsenal, due to the fact United’s performances against Liverpool, both in the league and FA Cup, came to the forefront of my mind when looking at this game, and the fact that I thought it offered good value. It wasn’t to be, and not long after Arsenal scored their first goal, I decided to cash out and take a small loss.

Onto the Monday night game and whereas I didn’t bother with the correct score market, as I thought this could have been anyone’s game, I did get involved in the match result market. Emery is certainly no slouch, and has even got a result against Arsenal this season, so I decided to lay Liverpool at the start of the game with them being odds on and me thinking that this is where the value lay. Even when Liverpool went 3-1 up, I decided to put even more money on the lay Liverpool result, as I thought the value was even better and Aston Villa certainly weren’t out of the game yet with still a good portion of the match left to play. Fortunately I was right in my assessment, and I came away with a nice little profit from this game.

Here’s how Week 28’s profit compares against the other weeks this season:

That’s 5 weeks of profitability now in the last 6 weeks. So a lot of positivity to be gained from this as we come to the end of the season. I said the other week that I hope to get below the -£500 loss mark, and that certainly looks achievable now after this week’s results. As I’m looking at this, weeks 2-4 absolutely killed me, and it meant I was always on the backfoot from then on, trying to recover my losses. I’m going to write something about this in more detail once the season is over, as I give my thoughts on how the season went overall.

Here’s a pictorial representation of how my season has gone in terms of profit & loss:

That dip we’ve seen for most of the season, is taking more of an upswing lately. Not as steep as I would’ve liked, but at least it’s in the right direction.

There’s a few Premier League games this week, so I may get involved with them. I’m certainly getting involved in the Spurs vs Man City game, with a possible £100 being put on Man City to win straight from the off. I’ll also look at the correct score market and see if there is anything there to look at too. Figures crossed I get under the -£500 loss figure tonight, otherwise it’ll all be relying on the end-of-season games and FA Cup to help me reach that target. Good luck if you’re trading. And may the Lord be with you. Always!