Well if opposites attract, week 1 and week 2 of this season would be f**king each other’s heads off by now. I’m gutted. Really gutted. But not I’m-going-to-throw-this-all-in-the-bin gutted. Because that’s just sports trading. One week/day/month you’re up, the next you’re down. And down is what I am for week 2. £235.71 down to be exact. And that’s a lot for one week. But it’s all about perspective. I was up £222 last week. So, in total, I’m down £13. Big wow! If you want to make it in this game then you’ve got to be able to roll with these punches and get back up the next day to do it all again. And that’s exactly what I’ll be doing for week 3.

Anyway, here’s the P&L for week 2:

So, as you can see again, there’s a lot more trades being placed when compared against the number of trades placed in any other week over the last two seasons. Believe it or not, one of the reasons for me doing this was to try and avoid the big swings in variance that I was expecting. On the first two weeks of evidence, this doesn’t seem to be happening! I can see that variance played it’s part in my poor results, but hopefully that will turn in my favour for week 3.

Again, I won’t produce any graphs or tables until there’s something more to show. I’ll probably start when the results come in for week 3. It’s going to be another quick blog post unfortunately. Hopefully when I get back into the flow of things I’ll have a bit more to post about. Until then my followers, happy trading! And may the Lord be with you. Always!

Hello my brethren. My sheep. My followers. My holy mutha f**kers!

I hope to find you all well. I’m great, and really looking forward to the rest of the season now that we have a good understanding of how teams are fairing within their respective leagues. Apologies for not posting sooner but I felt the season was a bit stop-start due to the international matches, and I wanted to wait until the season got into some form of rhythm before blogging about my trading for this season. Now that the international matches have gone away until next year, I can concentrate on putting some trades together and keeping you informed of how I’m progressing.

For the new season, there are a number of things I want to progress, and these are as follows:

1. Automation. I want to start automating my trades. I’d love to be in a position where I can filter out my trades for the day, put them on, and leave them so that automation takes care of them with little or no interaction from myself. To do this I think I’m going to opt for Bet Angel to carry this out for me. I just need to put some time aside to figure how to do all this. This was something I wanted to do for the Summer but just never had the time to look into it further.
2. Go back to manual trading. I feel as though I was quite good at the manual trading side of things, and generally posted some good greens. I’d like to get back to doing some manual trading where the time allows. Obviously, I’d like automated trading to form the bulk of my trading, but I would like to still do some manual trading to help increase my profits. Now you may be thinking point 1 kind of negates what I’m saying for point 2, but by doing manual trading I’m hoping to iron out those bumps in the road that occur with automated trading. This should help me out psychologically and financially. The less losses incurred, the better.
3. Trial more systems. I’ve got a few new systems that I wouldn’t mind trying out, and hopefully this will prove to be successful in the coming months. I’ve been looking at these systems in the Summer, so hopefully if I’ve done my homework right that time and effort will pay off. I’m obviously not going to go off in the deep end with these new strategies like I did last season. I’ll be taking this nice and slowly, as delving straight into it last season cost me dearly.
4. Live trading and posting videos. I would love to post some videos of my manual trading online for others to see how I’m doing. This is to see where I’m going wrong, and also to possibly help others on their trading journey. I’d also like to do a few live sessions to hopefully help others gain a little bit of cash for themselves. This is all up in the air at the moment and a big ask, but if I manage to get one video online this season, I’ll be happy with this.

Right – that’s it from me for now. I may possibly post something on Friday after all the Premier League games that are happening in midweek. But if you are trading I wish you all the best luck in the world. And as ever always…may the Lord be with you. Always!

Hello peeps! I hope we’re all alright and recovered sufficiently enough from the disappointing Euro final result. It just wasn’t to be, and I feel like it was a bit of a missed opportunity for the England players to make history. Spain were the deserved winners, but I thought England could have been a bit more attacking and gone out with a bit more of a fight. Fortunately I managed to make some money on trading the Euros, so it wasn’t all doom and gloom. As previously mentioned in my last post, this was following someone called Scott who had set up a Telegraph channel where he posted his bets and trades of the day. Scott was someone that Ian Erskine (of FTS fame) recommended, so I thought I’d give it a whirl. By the way, if you’re serious about your trading, Ian is definitely someone to follow. He’s one of life’s good guys and certainly knows his stuff in relation to trading.

So, onto the task in hand – the third biggest lesson that I learnt from trading the football season 2023-24. And that was…(drum roll)…psychology! Below I’ll outline some of the major psychological issues I came across throughout last season’s football calendar, and in a large part they are related to the first 2 lessons I posted about previously.

The first major psychological issue was when a strategy I thought would be quite profitable turned out to be anything but. I found that this bad start set the tone for the rest of the season. On this point I refer back to my trading of the 2022-23 season. In this season I got off to a very good start and made a large profit in my first five months or so, reaching around the £1,200 mark. The next couple of months after this I suffered a £800 loss. Because I made the profit first and then suffered the loss, I felt that I was okay with this. But had I made a £800 loss FIRST, would I have then carried on to make a £1,200 profit??? Probably not. That’s how important it is psychologically to get off to a good start. It’s like in life – if you’ve got a good grounding with a stable family around you, then you’re more likely to make a good go of things than if you were dealt a terrible starting hand. Don’t get me wrong, I learnt an awful lot through losing money than I ever would by winning money, but getting off to a good start helps you massively from a mental side of things. Afterall, people are far more likely to quit trading losing money than they are from winning it!

So, what did I do to help me mentally? Well, I decided to ditch the new strategy as it was eating into my bank and affecting me psychologically. I decided to just stick with the type of trades that I knew had served me well in the past. This would put me in a good place mentally, using a tried and trusted method to change my mental state and also to help reduce the damage done to my bank. You see this happen in life all the time – people ditching new methodologies (or not even trying new methodologies) and going back to their tried and tested methods. Football managers for example (e.g. Gareth Southgate), will find themselves reverting to tactics that have served them so well in the past. In the Euros Gareth Southgate very often seemed to stick with his tactics of defending resolutely and not offering much in attack. Only when his team went behind did he change things up. When his team did equalise or go ahead, you then seen his team revert back to type. Frustrating but totally understandable in the circumstances. If the style of football you play gets you to finals and semi-finals, then why would you change it? This was the same for me and using the trades I knew would give me a better chance of profit. The problems arise when you stick to previously winning tactics and they no longer work, that’s when you need to adapt and change things up. Failure to do so will mean that you’ll eventually end up a loser.

I also reduced my staking to a more manageable amount (as mentioned in my previous blog post). Afterall, losing big chunks of money doesn’t help anyone psychologically. This change cost me in terms of not achieving as much profit as I could have done, which in turn really annoyed me, but it was an important required change. I just accepted that it was something that I needed to do in order to help me mentally and allow me to stay in the game longer. You hear people give up on trading due to the psychological battle they are not willing to go through on a daily basis. By changing my staking level I was determined I wasn’t going to become one of them. Yes, I might have not achieved the profit that I could have done, but long term I’ve no doubt that this approach would have benefitted me.

The last psychological issue I had was in relation to hitting a pre-determined loss amount for the season. By setting a target I did a few things that I possibly shouldn’t have, and this cost me dearly in terms of profit. Going into the last game of the season I wanted to get my losses to under £400. In setting this target, when the trades were in play I accepted profits early in those games so that I could reach the target I had previously set myself. Had I of left those trades and not cashed out early, I would have made an even bigger profit. Re-reading my blog post “Results For Week 29 – 2023-24”, I made a profit of £28 when it could have been £295. Had I have been making a profit and not trying to reduce my losses, then I would no doubt have left the trades to run rather than cashing out early. This was all about the mindset that I was in at the time. It was a very valuable lesson I learnt, and hopefully one I’ll take with me into the new season.

So, there you have it, a little glimpse into the third and final lesson learnt from the 2023-24 season. Hopefully I’ve learnt massively from these three lessons, and it’s something I’m going to take with me into the coming season. Hopefully you can also take something away from these lessons too, so you don’t have to find out the hard way. Regarding the next season, I don’t think I’m going to be doing any automation any time soon, as other pressing matters have landed on my plate. I would love to do some automation, but I have other priorities to sort out first. I’m not totally ruling it out, but it may be something that I’m going to have to put in place at some point in the season rather than before it kicks off. I’ll keep you posted.

And on that note, I’ll love you and leave you until the new season kicks off. I may post one or two updates, but my plans mainly consist of enjoying the sun and giving myself a mental break from it all before the hard work begins all over again. Enjoy your hols if you’re going away, and may the Lord be with you. Always.

Hello peeps! I hope you’re all alright and enjoying this time off from the football trading. I know I am. My stresses are no longer there, and I’ve got a lot more time to spend with my nearest and dearest which is always great to do.

I did say I would make a few posts regarding the three biggest trading lessons learnt from last season, so I thought that I’d start with my biggest lesson learnt, and the one mistake that kind of caused the other two lessons to be learnt, and that was going in at the deep end with new strategies.

I had a really good first season (2022-23) in terms of profit, but towards the end of the season I went on a really bad run that caused me to question my strategy and whether or not I still “had it”. Because of this, and the fact that I didn’t want to go through something similar in the new season, I decided to look into adding a few more strategies to the armoury in the close season. This, I hoped, would smooth out any bumps in the road that I might come across in the future, and any losses in my original strategy would then be compensated by profits in the new strategies.

The only problem with the new strategies was that they weren’t tested as exhaustedly as they could have been. And because of this, I dived straight into trading the new systems on similar stakes as to my original strategy, without having a bedding in period at all.

This meant massive losses were incurred within the first 2 months of the season. If you can recall, my losses for weeks 2, 3, 4 & 7 were £106, £224, £257, and £200 respectively. I think it was shortly after this time that I decided to cease trading my new strategies and concentrate on my manual trading and my original strategy. I’ve since looked to see how I would have preformed if I kept the faith and traded my new strategies until the end of the season, and I would have been over 93 points down. Which at the stakes I was trading at, would have meant a total loss of £2,325 (-93 points x £25)!

Looking back, I should have probably done a lot more testing of my strategies before utilising them. I also should have started trading my new strategies on reduced stakes too, to see if they were any good before going with the larger stakes. Who knows, they may still be good strategies, last season might have just been a blip. I know last season was one of the highest scoring Premier league seasons (if not the highest), so it might have had something to do with it!

And that’s the thing, how do you know when to keep the faith in a strategy, and when to let go? You hear of many people abandoning a strategy after a bad run, only for them to have missed out on potentially massive profits had they carried on trading it. And I guess this is were having 100% faith in your strategies matters. If you’ve done your testing properly, then the chances are that your new strategy will be a success. I might have just got unlucky with this season. What I’m going to do is probably retest my new strategies and keep an eye on them for next season. I’m not going to totally write them off, but I also won’t be trading them until the statistics say otherwise.

Hopefully next season I will bring in some new strategies, but learning my lessons from last season, I’m going to ensure that these new strategies are properly tested and I won’t be going in with the big stakes straight away. It’ll be small stakes until the strategies are proven to be profitable.

Well, that’s my first of three of my “biggest lesson learnt from last season”. I hope you’ve learnt from this. And I also hope to bring you the next two lessons learnt within the coming days. And as ever always, may the Lord be with you. Always.

Take care peeps.

In case you missed my tweet in the middle of last week – I did it! I managed to get my total losses under the £400 mark. In my last blog post I was looking to reduce my total losses for the season to less than £500. But because I had such a good set of mid-week trades, I decided to move this target to total losses of less than £400. It’s not a great achievement, but in a season where I was almost £900 down at one point, I’m taking these small victories. The profit for Week 29 was £154, which was my second highest profit of the season. This could have been a lot, lot more, and I’ll touch on this later in the post. In the meantime, here is how that £154 profit was achieved (ignore the boxing amount, I had a little dabble on the big fight (Fury vs Osyk) at the weekend):

Spurs vs City
The first trade of the week was the Spurs vs City game. The major thing with this game, is that I wasn’t at my laptop to monitor what was happening in-play until the second half of the game. I think this is a good thing for me. The less I see of what is going on in the match the better. And after what happened in the last round of Premier League fixtures this is something that I’m hoping to be doing in the future (more on this later).

I thought the odds were good for the City win before kick-off, so I placed my ‘City to win until the end of the season’ trade. I kept an eye on how this game was progressing by only looking at the score, and not actually watching the game. I think if I was watching the game I might have traded out, especially if I saw the 1-on-1 chance that Son had. Once I saw Man City going 0-2 up, I could relax a little and leave the trade to come to it’s natural conclusion.

Regarding my Correct Score selections for this match, I chose 0-1, 0-2, and AOA. I traded out my initial stake on the 0-1 scoreline shortly after Man City scored, which meant more green on the 0-2 and AOA trades, and a reduced liability on all the other scorelines. I also thought that there would be more goals in the game, so once it went to 0-2, I was a very happy chap. With the game entering it’s final minutes, and without cover on the 0-3 and 1-2 scorelines, I decided to reduce my liability to zero. This also meant reduced profit on the 0-2 trade. Typically I would let my trades ride out, but because I wanted a good end to the season I decided to go with the sensible approach. All in all a great set of trades for this particular match for some much needed profit.

The last round of Premier League games of the season identified three matches for me to trade. These were Man City vs West Ham, Liverpool vs Wolves, and Arsenal vs Everton. Because I had a really good set of trades mid-week (Spurs vs Man City game), my target of total losses for the season had moved from -£500 to -£400. And after the midweek trades, my total losses for the season stood at -£408. So I only needed to profit by more than £8 to break through the revised target of -£400. Looking back, I think this is where my problems first set in.

By setting a target, I would say I abandoned what I had been doing for most of the season. Typically, I would select my correct scores and leave them to run. For the three matches I selected, I did not do this. My mind was too focused on making more than £8 profit. When Liverpool went 2-0 up at half time, and against 10 men, I decided to trade out of my 2-0 scoreline as I thought they would score more goals with 45 minutes still left to play. When City went 3-1 up around the 60th minute, I decided to trade out of the 3-1 scoreline a bit later on, as any more goals and I was looking at a loss. When the Arsenal vs Everton match was at 1-1, and I didn’t think they would score another goal as there weren’t many minutes left, I decided to trade out of the 2-1 scoreline too. So, what do you notice about all these scorelines I traded out of? Yes, that’s right. They ALL came in!!! So, instead of the £28 I made, I could have made over £295!!!! Yes, £295!!!! This would have been an amazing end to the season, and would have meant a total loss of just over £100. But because I was too focused on making over £8 I lost view of the bigger picture.

This was a massive lesson to me. One of the many lessons that I’ve learnt over the course of this season in particular. I will cover the three biggest lessons I’ve learnt over the season in some blogs posts I’ll be making over the next few weeks. Hopefully these lessons will be valuable to you, and you’ll learn from MY mistakes rather than YOUR mistakes. This is partly the reason I set up this blog, so that others can read about my trading journey and they can hopefully learn from my mistakes and successes.

Anyway, here’s how the £154 profit for Week 29 measured up against my other trading weeks:

As mentioned previously, the £154 profit for week 29 was my second highest weekly profit made. It was another profitable week, and my 6th profitable week in the last 7 weeks. So a very strong end to the season, in which has been a generally poor season. Here’s a line chart of my profit and losses for the season:

The end of the chart shows promising signs of my progress, but I have spent the season operating at a loss, barring the first week. I may trade the FA Cup match, so there may be further profit (or loss) to be added to this graph, but I’ll check the odds first before deciding anything. If I don’t trade the FA Cup match, my total season losses will stand at -£380. This isn’t good, but it’s not something I’m disheartened by. I know exactly where I’ve gone wrong, and next season my goal is to get back to winning ways.

I hope you’ve all had a better trading/betting season than I have. I’ve got big plans for next season. I hoping to open up to other football leagues and markets, and I’m even looking at automation which I may cover in my blog posts throughout the Summer. Automation would help me massively, both mentally and the amount of time it would save me. So if you want to see how I’m doing with that then please keep your eyes open for my tweets and blog posts.

Well, that’s it for now. I hope you’ve enjoyed my open and honest trading journey throughout the 2023-24 season, and no doubt I’ll catch you over the Summer. Failing that, I’ll see you for the 2024-25 season, which can’t come soon enough for me! Good luck if you’re trading the Euro’s. If you’re taking a break from it all, I can’t blame you – sit back and recharge those batteries. And may the Lord be with you…as ever always!

It’s on! The challenge of getting below -£500 total loss for the season is well and truly on! Week 28 turned out to be the second highest profitable week for the season for me, with a nice sum of £131. Here’s a breakdown of how that profit was achieved:

I don’t usually dip into any Champions League matches, but I thought I’d take a dive into the Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich game, as I had a strong feeling as to how the match would flow. Those feeling were strongly aligned to a Real win, but when Bayern scored first it certainly made me question about getting involved in this trade. Fortunately Real had a late rally and managed to score 2 goals in succession which meant both my correct score and match result predictions came in. I did put this down to a lot of luck that I made a profit from this match, but I’m not going to be beating myself up about it possibly going against me, as there has been many, many, many times were my trades have resulted in a loss due to a late goal or two. Thinking about how trades could have gone against you can dent your confidence, and you start thinking that this is a game of chance, and it’s the luck that getting you the results as opposed to it being your skillset and research. But for some reason, people don’t think about it the other way around when their trades go against them. For losing trades they put it down to themselves not being good enough, as opposed to being unlucky. I guess it depends on whether you see your glass as being half-full or half-empty. I’m a half-empty kind of guy, but I’m slowly learning to change my mindset and be more positive about things. This will not be an overnight thing, and I realise that it will take time. Little changes help towards achieving this. I’ve even noticed that slight changes in how I word things, or say things, helps towards a more positive outlook. If you too are a half-empty kind of person, try it. It makes a difference.

Onto the weekend and the only Saturday game that I liked the look of was Fulham vs Man City. The odds never got high enough for me to put my £100 on City to win, but I made some money from that market anyway as I put some on reduced odds after City had scored the first goal. Looking back, I should have stayed away as the risk to reward ratio was too great, but I felt that once City had taken the lead, there was only ever going to be one result. The correct score prediction came in easily enough, so that helped towards the profits very nicely. I chose 0-1, 0-2, and AOA, and traded out of these as the goals went in.

For Sunday’s United vs Arsenal game I thought it was going to be quite close, and it seemed to turn out that way. Well, a lot closer than many thought anyway. I decided to lay Arsenal, due to the fact United’s performances against Liverpool, both in the league and FA Cup, came to the forefront of my mind when looking at this game, and the fact that I thought it offered good value. It wasn’t to be, and not long after Arsenal scored their first goal, I decided to cash out and take a small loss.

Onto the Monday night game and whereas I didn’t bother with the correct score market, as I thought this could have been anyone’s game, I did get involved in the match result market. Emery is certainly no slouch, and has even got a result against Arsenal this season, so I decided to lay Liverpool at the start of the game with them being odds on and me thinking that this is where the value lay. Even when Liverpool went 3-1 up, I decided to put even more money on the lay Liverpool result, as I thought the value was even better and Aston Villa certainly weren’t out of the game yet with still a good portion of the match left to play. Fortunately I was right in my assessment, and I came away with a nice little profit from this game.

Here’s how Week 28’s profit compares against the other weeks this season:

That’s 5 weeks of profitability now in the last 6 weeks. So a lot of positivity to be gained from this as we come to the end of the season. I said the other week that I hope to get below the -£500 loss mark, and that certainly looks achievable now after this week’s results. As I’m looking at this, weeks 2-4 absolutely killed me, and it meant I was always on the backfoot from then on, trying to recover my losses. I’m going to write something about this in more detail once the season is over, as I give my thoughts on how the season went overall.

Here’s a pictorial representation of how my season has gone in terms of profit & loss:

That dip we’ve seen for most of the season, is taking more of an upswing lately. Not as steep as I would’ve liked, but at least it’s in the right direction.

There’s a few Premier League games this week, so I may get involved with them. I’m certainly getting involved in the Spurs vs Man City game, with a possible £100 being put on Man City to win straight from the off. I’ll also look at the correct score market and see if there is anything there to look at too. Figures crossed I get under the -£500 loss figure tonight, otherwise it’ll all be relying on the end-of-season games and FA Cup to help me reach that target. Good luck if you’re trading. And may the Lord be with you. Always!

Well, the good run is finally over, as I experienced my first loss in five weeks. I’m not too disheartened though, as it was only for a small amount of £22. Here’s how week 27 went down:

As you can see, there was only 2 trades undertaken this week. This was because I was having an extended weekend away with my family and I couldn’t really concentrate on the trading front. This pissed me off as a trader, as I know that any opportunities that present themselves then the trader should trade them. Prior to kick-off I had identified the Arsenal vs Bournemouth and Sheffield United vs Forest games as potential trades, and I would have gone ahead with them had I been able to get reception on my phone. Unfortunately, with us staying somewhere remote, I wasn’t able to get reception. Or should I say, it was fortunate that I couldn’t get reception, because had I been able to, I reckon I would have been a good £50-£60 down as the correct scores I would have selected did not come in.

Looking at the actually trades I did put on, these were straight forward bets and lays. I thought Villa would have got something out of the Brighton game, and that Liverpool would have struggled against Spurs. It wasn’t to be, but for each one I thought there was value on offer, hence me putting them on. Here’s how those trades have affected my overall profit and loss for this season:

How mad is that – £666 down! The number of the beast! I need to get away from that amount as quickly as possible, haha! Here’s an overall picture of how I’m doing this season:

Well, a small dip after a month’s worth of upturns. I need to get back on track and hopefully end the season on a winning run. I’d love to end it around the -£500 mark, as it would represent a significant turnaround in my fortunes after a very disappointing season so far. I just need to make sure I don’t do anything desperate in trying to reach that amount. Typically I’ll probably look at ending my season early, as when I’ve looked at previous seasons, the last few weeks haven’t been profitable. This was certainly the case last season. But that may just all be coincidental. So if any trades are identified, I’ll be looking at trading them. Wish me luck! And if you’re carrying out any trades yourself, then may the Lord be with you. Always!

Week 26 was a very good week for me on the trading front. Over £100 profit, which is my third highest profit this season so far, and the first £100+ profit since week 8, which seems like a long time ago now. Here’s how that profit was made:

There were a fair few trades this week as the games are coming thick and fast as we get to the business end of the season. The first game was Man Utd vs Sheff Utd. I opted for the correct scores of 2-0, 2-1, and AOH. With Sheff Utd scoring first, this only left the 2-1 and AOH scorelines left in-play. When Man Utd equalised I just thought the 2-1 scoreline would come to fruition as I didn’t think Sheff Utd would score 2 goals. But with Sheff Utd going ahead this only left the AOH correct score. Thankfully that came in, but not for any great profit at all.

The other game I traded that was going on at the same time, was just a straight lay of Liverpool versus Everton. I didn’t think they would get a result at Everton, as Klopp hasn’t had much joy there in his time with Liverpool, and from what I seen in the first 20 minutes or so, I didn’t think they’d be getting a result that night either. I thought the odds offered gave good value so I stuck the lay on and just left it until full-time to pick up the profit.

I also managed to pick up a decent return from the Brighton vs Man City game, with Man City running out comfortable winners. I managed to back the AOA correct score so I was quite happy with that. I did think that Brighton would have offered a more sterner test, and with the value being quite low, I decided to opt out of betting on the City win from the off. I did put a trade in at higher odds, but unfortunately City scored before my trade was taken, so I missed out on some green there.

Onto the weekend, and an absolute load of games were identified as being viable to trade. With that in mind I should have planned my day better in making sure I was back home in time, settled, and ready to trade. Instead I was making butties 10 minutes before the games kicked off and I was not as focused as I should have been. Still, I put the identified trades on and sat back and relaxed. It was only when I seen the current score of the Man Utd vs Burnley game (0-0 at the time) and compared it to the profit/loss showing on my Betfair screen, that I realised I made a boo-boo. I managed to put two trades on the 2-0 scoreline, instead of one of them being on 1-1. So with that in mind I decided to kill the trades in the Man Utd game for a small red, because if Burnley did manage to score, then that would have been two trades down the grid. I could have left the trades as they were, as United did score first, and 1-0 would have meant a good green for me with having two trades on the 2-0 correct score. But coming right out of the trades was probably the right thing to do from a trading viewpoint in my opinion. Had I put the correct score on correctly in the first place, I would have been looking at an additional £90-£100 profit to my weeks total. This just shows the importance of being properly prepared before undertaking any sort of trading.

On Sunday I only traded the Forest vs Man City game. I did my usual bet of backing City for a small profit, and I also did some manual trading of the correct score, which thankfully came in too. All in all an excellent week, and the fourth week of profit in a row. Something that I hope to keep going for Week 27. Here’s how Week 26 compares to my other weeks this season:

Good to see less red values and more black values in that table, and also a good upward slope in the line graph. Hopefully I can keep this up until the end of the season. I’d love to get the deficit down to £500, which will only mean a combined total loss of £100 across the two seasons, which ain’t too bad all things considered.

Good luck if you’re trading tonight, tomorrow, or over the weekend. And may the Lord be with you. Always.

Another profitable week. But again, not quite hitting the big amounts I’d like to be. But I just need to keep plugging away and I’m sure it’ll happen. Here’s a breakdown of how I achieved my £24.64:

There isn’t really a great deal to report to be honest. The Man City Vs Real Madrid game I did think that City would win, and I only stuck £20 on it and took the green when I was happy, hence the £6.92 win as they were great odds to begin with. I then decided to stick the winnings from this onto City to qualify after the game went into extra time. Unfortunately this never came in. So it was pretty much break even which I was happy about. I took a risk but it wasn’t to be. Due to the lack of Premier League games I then decided to look at the FA Cup and the Man City vs Chelsea game. I backed City, who left it late but won in the end. I’d say both the FA Cup game and the Champions League game were more low-stake trial bets than anything serious or part of a strategy, but it’s nice to see them come in all the same.

The Wolves vs Arsenal match was part of my trading plan, and after the scoreline went to 0-1, I decided to move some of my green from that scoreline over to the already covered 0-2 to increase my profit on that scoreline. Fortunately a very late goal ensured that this was the correct thing to do and I came out of that trade £42.14 to the good!

My last trade of the week was a lay of Liverpool, but there were issues. I was placing the lay and I thought it had all gone through with no issues, but it didn’t seem to have done with the game going in-play right at the same moment. When I looked no money seemed to have been placed against Liverpool, so I tried to lay them again, which this time seemed to be successful. It was only when Liverpool had scored that I noticed I had in fact laid Liverpool twice for £20 each time. Not being happy with that much liability, I ditched one of my lays and left the other in-play. But because Liverpool had scored already and were ahead, it just seemed to turn everything into one big mess. Eventually I decided to just see the trade out for a significant loss rather than getting out when I had a good amount of green, which was the initial plan. Hey-ho, lesson learnt for next time.

Here’s how this weeks profit has effected my profit and loss overall:

This is the third week on the bounce that I’ve posted a profit which has renewed my confidence levels. Especially when you consider this is over £100, which isn’t to be sniffed at. I’d like to possibly reduced my overall season’s loss of £748 to around the £600 mark, to restore back some of my pride. There’s plenty of football on this week too, so there’s a good opportunity for me to make some decent profit which I’m hopefully going to be able to do. This will probably start on Wednesday for me as Tuesday night’s I’m typically busy so I’ll miss the Arsenal vs Chelsea game. I’ll try and post what I’m going to do on my Twitter/X account just to keep you all posted. Good luck if you are also trading. And may the Lord be with you. Always!

Another profitable week is probably the best way to dress up Week 24. Less than a tenner but it’s still profit. Ignore the horse racing results, that’s just me getting lucky for the Grand National. “Bloody hell, why don’t you trade the horses” I hear you say! Cheeky bastards! Here’s my results for Week 24:

For the Man City vs Luton game, I actually chose the AOH correct scoreline, but because I also chose a couple of others, this actually gave me a negative return due to the low odds given. In the other game I chose on Saturday, it was great to see a very good green profit come in to help kickstart my trading weekend and fill me with confidence. I did have thoughts of leaving it at that and just not bother trading the rest of the weekend. But as we all know, trading doesn’t work like that. You don’t have a win, then a loss, then a win. A string of wins all together could happen, and I could miss out on them. So when Sunday came around, I knew that if any trading opportunities did come about, then I had to go for them. Unfortunately, and very unlikely, the two games that I chosen to trade didn’t go according to plan. At all. And you all know me – I usually like a good lay of Liverpool, but I thought with them getting tonked by Atalanta on Thursday night, I did feel as though they’d take their anger out on the next team they played. But it wasn’t to be. Hey-ho! The last trade of the week seen Chelsea beat Everton. i thought Everton would provide a tougher test than they did, and because of that I only had a small cover on Chelsea AOH hence the £3.92 profit.

Here’s how Week 24 has affected my overall trading position for the season:

Hopefully I can post another profitable week for Week 25. It looks as though there will be plenty of games throughout the week, so hopefully a few good opportunities will present themselves. Good luck if you’re trading. And may the Lord be with you. Always!

What was it that the commentator said when Ste Gerard scored Liverpool’s first goal in their 3 goal comeback against AC Milan in Instanbul – “oh hello!” Now I’m not saying that there’s any chance that I’m going to make back £800+ to break even for the season, but it’s good to finally get a large chunk of profit that helps to claw back some of my losses and give me some hope. Here’s a break down of how I made a profit of £82.12 for week 23:

As you can see from looking at these results, two of my 5 profitable trades this week were made from the ‘bet on City to win’ strategy, which has been going on for a number of weeks now. I’m still in the red following this strategy, but it’s good to see some green, even though it may not be a great amount. Looking at City’s next game, Luton at home, I doubt I’ll be putting any money on a City home win, as the odds are currently only 1.11 on the Betfair Exchange. What I may do, is just wait to see if Luton score and then take it from there. I did something similar on Saturday. I already bet on Man City to win before a ball was kicked, but when they went a goal down to Palace I decided to add to the bet but obviously at the now higher odds.

Also, I decided to trade the correct score in the Palace vs City game. I decided to only bet on AOA as I thought the odds for this selection offered great value. I don’t think Palace are as good in defence as when they were when Roy Hodgson was there. Fortunately my bet came in with quite a bit of the match left to play, sparing my nerves for another weekend. This bet turned out to be my biggest win of the week.

Onto the Man Utd vs Liverpool match, and before the game I heard a stat that said Liverpool had only won 2 games with Klopp against Man Utd at Old Trafford. This caught me quite off-guard and made me rethink my betting strategy for this game. Looking at Liverpool’s odds pre-match, I decided to lay them as the lay odds seemed to offer good value in my opinion. This was my second most profitable trade of the week.

My biggest loss was when I used my profit from the Man Utd vs Liverpool game and bet on a few correct score predictions in the Spurs vs Forest game. Easy come, easy go! I was in two minds whether to leave the trades or not and end the week on a high. But in this game, you’ve got to have faith in yourself and be open to risk, and unfortunately in this instance the trades didn’t go my way.

Here’s how Week 23’s results have affected my profit and loss for this season so far:

I’m still almost £800 down for the season, but I’m quite buoyed by my profitable week. It’s even got me thinking that I could break even for the season. But I do recognise this as me “chasing” my previous losses, and it’s something I’m trying not to entertain. I’m just going to focus on trading what’s in front of me, and not do anything stupid. It’s good to feel the confidence returning though, and hopefully this renewed confidence will help me as we are slowly rounding the corner and coming in for the home straight as the season is drawing to an end. Here’s a pictural representation of the table above:

Well, that’s it from me for this week. I’m going to have a look and see what the weekend has in store, and if there’s anything interesting then I’ll let you know. Good luck if you’re trading throughout the week, or just leaving it until this weekend. And remember peeps…the Lord is with you. Always!

Same shit, different day. That’s pretty much sums my trading up at the moment. I’m kind of at a loss with the way things are currently going. I posted a blog about 3 weeks ago regarding trusting your system. And boy did I wish I re-read that blog post because I sure could have done with trusting my system this last weekend or so. If I did, I pretty much could have halved my losses for this season, and if I hadn’t reduced my stakes from £20 to £10, I wouldn’t be experiencing any losses at all this season. But, I need to not get torn up at the missed opportunities and just keep going with what I’m doing, because if I did I’d be in a much better position than I’m currently in. And that’s what I’ve got to focus on – not the missed opportunities, but the fact that if I carried out my trades as I should have done, I’d be in a much better place financially. Anyway, enough about that, here’s my results for week 21 & 22:

Week 21:

Week 22:

Well, there’s not too much to mention regarding the trades, as there weren’t really that many trades to go through. The big loss of £100 was down to me carrying on with my ‘City to win’ betting strategy. With Arsenal drawing at City, that was £100 down the drain. I think in total I’m down around £174 by following this trading strategy. If City do manage to win every game from now until the end of the season, then I could possibly post a small profit. But it will be a small profit. And if they don’t win every game then it could be a big loss. Although having just looked at the remaining games for City, and the possible odds for those games, I think I could be lucky to post an actual profit, as I don’t envisage City’s odds to be too favourable. There’s possibly only the Chelsea away game that the odds would be quite ‘big’, but still under 2s I reckon. So my hopes for this strategy aren’t too hot!

You may have noticed that none of the trades for week 21 & 22 were correct score trades, which I’m actually surprised about myself. I thought I might have done at least one, but evidently not. This isn’t a conscious decision, I just don’t think there were any correct scores opportunities that took my fancy for these weeks. I certainly won’t be moving away from trading correct scores, despite my recent losses this season.

Overall, without the City loss, I’m pretty much breaking even over the 2 weeks, so I’m not too despondent. I can’t ignore the City loss, but I do need to put it into perspective. I’m going to keep on going until the end of the season and try not to do anything too stupid. I do know that at the end of the season I’m going to take all the lessons learnt and ensure that next season I’m not going to repeat them. I thought that all the lessons I was going to learn was going to be done in my first season, but because the first season was a good season, you don’t learn many lessons when you’re successful. It’s when you’re taking a beating is when you learn the most valuable lessons, and this season I’ve learnt a lot.

Here’s how the season has gone so far:

I’m not happy with the current losses. No one would be. The way things are going I could be looking at crossing the £1000 loss mark, which would be depressing. I don’t think I’ll hit this landmark amount, but I’ll have my work cut out to get any where near an acceptable loss for the season (about a £500 deficit). As mentioned before , I’ve just got to keep on going and see what happens. After tonight, there are about 8 league games left for the rest of the season. That’s not including the European matches. So with this in mind I’ve got to concentrate on getting things right and minimising those losses. That’s hopefully going to start this weekend when City take on palace. Good luck if you’re trading peeps! And may the Lord be with you. Always!

Well, I say trades, but they’ll be outright bets. There’s nothing in the Premier League that grabs me so I’ll be turning my attention towards the FA Cup. I think I’m going to be looking at trading the Manchester City game against Newcastle, and stick my trade on City to win when the odds get to around 1.35-ish.

I’ll probably also be looking at the Liverpool game against United. I can’t see United sitting back like they did at Anfield, and that could be their undoing. I’ve got a feeling United may score first, and if they do, then I might then go in on a possible lay of United or Liverpool to win, depending on which gives the better risk-to-reward ratio.

No correct score predictions this week. So instead, I’m hoping to spend a bit of time tonight on getting some work done on something that’ll hopefully increase my chances of turning around my fortunes. I’ve put a few beers in the fridge in anticipation of the long night ahead. My work will probably start around 10pm-ish when my partners head starts drooping and she starts falling asleep. If I start at 10pm then I usually call it a night at around 1am-ish. I think I’m a bit of a night owl in that aspect. If you want to make it in the world of sports trading then you need to make these sacrifices. I really do feel as though success is just around the corner, and that is what keeps me going. Good luck peeps!

Hmm, not sure whether this is yet another kick in the knackers or just one of them weeks. I’m not going to be hard on myself, so I’m just taking it as being one of those weeks. Looking at the trades, it was the large trade on Man City to win at Liverpool that cost me my £98.84 loss. Otherwise I would have been looking at a pretty much break even week. Here’s a breakdown of my losses for week 20:

Saturday got off to a very good start with a £68.60 profit for backing the 1-1 draw between Palace and Luton. This profit was reduced when Arsenal beat Brentford 2-1. Unfortunately I had backed 1-0, 2-0, and AOH. I did have thoughts of backing 2-1 but decided to go against my gut and trust my selections. Hey-ho!

The West Ham vs Burnley match seen my profits sink further, as my selections were more towards a West Ham win. Unfortunately that never happened. As soon as Burnley scored their second, that was all my correct score-line selections out of the window. Then came the big match of Liverpool vs Man City. With Man City at good odds this would have been a good profitable trade should it have come in. The problem with my ‘bet on Man City to win until the end of the season’ strategy, is that you have to see the trades out until the end. You shouldn’t trade out. So there’s no trading out even when Man City go ahead. So on this basis I stayed in the trade and this cost me £100 as Liverpool equalised. From there on in it was pretty much Liverpool being on top, apart from Man City hitting the post. Eventually the game came to an end and the result stayed 1-1.

The last trade of the week saw me lay Chelsea versus Newcastle. It looked like good value to me as I don’t see Chelsea as being the team they once were, hence my decision. I decided to watch the match, and it did seem that Chelsea were on top for much of it, so when the game went to 2-1 in Chelsea’s favour I decided to accept my losses and come out of the trade. Here’s a breakdown of my weekly profit and loss figures:

Yet another dip on the graph but I’m optimistic in pulling some of this back. Steps have been made to rectify this downturn, and hopefully turn around my fortunes. The chances of me breaking even or even making a profit are very slim, but it’s still something to aim for. I’m hoping to be putting something in place for next weekend’s games rather than this, so as not to rush things and make mistakes.

There’s not many Premier League games this weekend, but I’ll keep my eye out to see if anything takes my fancy. Not sure whether to bet on Man City to win against Newcastle, due to it being an FA Cup game and anything can happen. But having watched Newcastle on Monday I wasn’t impressed, and I can see Pep wanting to make a statement after his team’s inferior performance against Liverpool on Sunday. The only thing stopping me is the odds being a little too short for me. I’ll weigh it up nearer the time. Another match that has caught my eye is the Man United versus Liverpool game. Liverpool seem good odds at close to evens, especially after their game against Man City on Sunday. Plus there’s also the fact that some familiar faces are returning to the Liverpool side. It’s going to be a tough match, but I can see Liverpool making their way into the semi-finals.

Right, I’m going to leave it there. I hope you all have a good week’s trading. And remember, may the Lord be with you. Always!

No, I haven’t profited this week. But I haven’t had a big loss either. So I’ll take that. If you’re not going to win, then do the next big thing and lose small. Here’s the breakdown for week 19:

It was an interesting mix of trades this week, and looking at the breakdown I didn’t realise just how many trades I undertook. My first trade of the week was the Liverpool vs Southampton match in the FA Cup. I placed the match result trade a long time before kick-off, and it was to lay Liverpool as again I didn’t believe Liverpool would be fielding a strong team. Then as kick-off got closer I learnt that the Southampton team wasn’t a strong line-up either and they had a few squad players playing rather than first teamers. So, I decided to trade out before a ball was even kicked. It was only a small loss so I wasn’t too concerned. Instead, I decided to look towards the correct score market. I backed 1-0, 2-1, and 2-0, and I laid the AOH correct score too. It got to 2-0 and I was looking at a very nice green as there wasn’t much time to go before the final whistle. I decided to lay my liabilities so that I would have a very small profit should my 2-0 trade go against me. It was all going well and the profit amount was looking good, but unfortunately another goal was scored and that nice juicy green I was looking at turned into a small green by full-time. Hey-ho, that’s trading, and you can’t dwell on these things.

The next trades were on the Saturday afternoon, 3pm kick-offs – Newcastle vs Wolves, Spurs vs Palace, Forest vs Liverpool, and Everton vs West Ham. These were all fire and forget trades identified by my stats. I was quite surprised by how many trades were identified to trade, as typically there’s usually only a couple at best. I decided to keep an eye on these trades throughout the afternoon. At one point I could have traded out for £55 profit, which would have been nice. But also, if I left the trades and they came in, I could have been looking at a whole lot more. This was about trusting my stats as mentioned in my previous blog post. What you may have noticed is that I had a correct score trade (0-1, 1-1, and 0-2) on the Forest vs Liverpool game, but I also had a bet on the match result for the same game. I didn’t mind seeing both those trades out, as at 0-0 my ‘lay Liverpool’ bet would come in for £20 profit (£50 profit from laying the Liverpool win, minus £30 stakes on the correct score trades), but if Liverpool did score, my 1-0 correct score trade would have come in for £53 profit (£83 profit from the 1-0 scoreline, minus my £29.50 loss from laying Liverpool to win). Luckily the more profitable of these outcomes came to fruition. Unfortunately the other three games did not produce any profitable outcomes.

Moving onto Sunday I traded the correct score on the Man City vs Man United game. I opted for 1-0, 2-0 and AOH. The match kicked off, and with the early goal for Man United, two of those correct scores were immediately wiped out. My only hope was for the AOH correct scoreline to come good, but it was all too little too late and the game ended 3-1. All was not lost though, because as I mentioned a few weeks ago I was still doing my ‘bet on Man City to win every game from now until the end of the season’ trading strategy. But, because the starting odds were terrible, 1.26, I decided not to bother before kick-off. I decided to stay away and only get involved if United scored first. Well, United did score first so I decided to wait a little to see how City would respond. City had their chances but United stayed resolute. It was only after City scored an equaliser that I decided to get involved. A bit of a weird mentality you might say, but my thinking was that the longer it went on, the more I believed United might have kept them out. When City scored their first, I thought it wouldn’t be long before they would score a second as United’s confidence would have been hit. Yes, I probably missed out on a whole load of profit, but the stake I was putting on (£100) might have effected my confidence levels in City’s ability to get the win.

The remaining trade was for the Arsenal game , and it was only a small profit due to the AOH correct scoreline only being small odds and me reducing my liability on the other scorelines. All in all my weeks trading seemed like a lot of work for a small loss. But the rewards could have been so much more. Here’s my weekly P&L breakdown in tabular and graphical formats:

I’ve still got a lot of work to do in trying to turn this sorry season around. But I think I might have something that I’ve been looking into, and hopefully I’ll have something to show you soon. This could be something or it could be nothing. I’ll do my testing and get back to you. I’m probably not going to trade until the weekend. So, good luck if you are trading this week, and may the Lord be with you. Always!

As regular readers of this blog would have read recently, I haven’t been seeing much profit in my trading of late. This has seen me question and lose faith in the trades I’ve been making. But not only the trades I’ve been making, but also the trades I’m about to make. And because of this, before the weekend of Week 18 I decided to reduce my stakes from £20 to £10 (I already decided to reduce my stakes from £25 to £20 a week or so earlier). I hoped that this would help me deal with things better when my trades turned out to be losers (again). But what I didn’t realise was that there was a flipside to reducing my trading stakes – how would I deal with things psychologically should these lower-stake trades actually turn out to be winners!!! Well, as it turned out, I dealt with it okay-ish. I did turn it over in my head again and again, but I just had to put down the decision I made to experience, and try not to think of the profit I missed out on.

Part of the reason I did reduce my stakes was due to the fact I was running out of trading bank. I have heard people mention about making sure you have a proper bank. Not a trading bank where you lose a few trades and then start reducing your trades. A bank needs to be able to take multiple loses. Find out what the typical number of losses you can expect on the bounce, and then treble it. Or something like that. Basically ensure that you’ve got a bank that can takes a whole series of losses and not effect your trading psychologically, and make you reduce your stakes. This is something I’ll be taking into account going forward.

Another issue you’ll encounter if you’re following a particular trading system is having trust in that particular system you’re using. It’s all well and good back testing your system prior to going live, but as soon as you come across a losing streak you can’t help yourself to go over the data just to ensure that everything is correct and there’s no issues that you might have previously missed. It’s not a bad thing to check your system every now and again anyway I guess. I’ve previously checked my system and I have had to correct a few things even though I thought everything was alright. And I know I’ve recently questioned my data when I’ve been on my current losing streak. But I’ve also noticed that sometimes it’s not the system that’s at fault, but it’s the user at fault for not following the trades the system is identifying. I know I’ve missed a few trades, or ignored trades that didn’t sit right with me, and I’ve missed out on money to be made. Take last weekend for example, I had £100 on Man City to win their game. My stats also told me that City winning 1-0 was potentially a good trade to make. But because I had money already invested in the game, I didn’t want to risk any more. This cost me 8 points, which would have amounted to £80 using my current trading stake. Hey-ho! Another lesson learnt on my trading journey.

That’s pretty much it really. I’m sure there’s pretty more I’ve yet to experience along this bumpy journey I’m on. The thing is, the journey might well be bumpy, but as long as I’m still on the path that’s all that matters. Good luck with your trading this weekend. I’m hoping to post any trades that I’m on, but if I don’t catch you, may the Lord be with you. Always!

Guess who’s back? Back again? Bible Bashing Bookie Basher is back. Tell a friend. Okay, okay, it may not have the same ring to it, but you get the gist. I had a good feeling that I was going to have a good weekend and it certainly turned out that way. £66 profit in a week i reduced my stakes is bitter sweet. I won, but I could have won a lot more. Here’s a breakdown of my results:

The week didn’t get off to the best of starts with a loss in the Brentford vs City correct score prediction. This was a fire and forget trade. I had the scorelines of 2-0, 3-0, and AOH covered, but City just couldn’t score a second goal to bring in a good green for me. But no hard feelings. At least I carried on my ‘bet on City to win’ trades, which came in and reduced the loss a little.

For the Liverpool vs Luton match I laid Liverpool. And to be honest I was a little disappointed in myself for not being a bit more proactive in this trade. When Luton went 1-0 up, I was in line for £140 if they won or drawn the game after taking my liability out. Now, thinking about it, I should have thought to myself “what’s the most probably outcome?”. This should have alerted me to possibly putting £100 on Liverpool to win, who were at odds of 2.20 at that time. This would have meant a big profit on Liverpool if they won, and a smaller profit of £40 if they didn’t. A big win-small win situation. I’m kicking myself thinking about, but I was too concentrated on Luton getting something out of the game instead of looking at all options available. In the end I came out with 39p. Disappointing.

The games played on Saturday (24th Feb) I posted a blog about once I placed the trades. Fortunately they faired well. It was quite a strange situation, as I thought the Brighton vs Everton match was dead after Everton went 1-0 up and Brighton went down to 10 men. However, the United vs Fulham match was looking good as it was 1-1. The two scenarios seemed to switch over in an instant, as Brighton scored and so did Fulham, meaning the Brighton-Everton 1-1 trade was on, and the United-Fulham trade was dead in the water. Thankfully this meant a good profit. I also did Man City to win in their game against Bournemouth which also came in. Again, this trade is part of my ‘bet on City to win’ strategy which I’m looking at keeping up until the end of the season.

On Sunday another trade came in as Wolves won 1-0 against Sheff Utd. My trade on Chelsea to win the League Cup faltered. I placed this in extra time after Liverpool started putting their youngsters on as I did think it was good odds and I thought Chelsea’s experience might have pulled them through.

My only regret in all these trades, which I also mentioned in my Saturday blog post, was the fact that I reduced my trading stakes to £10 as opposed to my typical amount of £25/£20. This cost me a lot of money. I did feel more comfortable psychologically, but I know this massively damaged my profitability. I’ll probably do a separate post regarding this, but there is a lesson there for others to learn from. If you have done your back testing, and you have your bank sorted, trust your system and try to keep to the stakes you originally set out to use.

Anyway, here’s my weekly P&L table, with a lovely graph to give a visual representation of my progress:

Right – that’s pretty much it from me. I’m hoping to keep up the profits by trading what’s in front of me, and trying to keep a disciplined mindset. I hope you all have a profitable week ahead if you haven’t already. I may post something on Friday or at the weekend. Until then, may the Lord be with you. Always!

Hello all! Bit of a free afternoon today, so thought I’d jump on here and quickly post what trades I’ve decided to pick out for the Saturday afternoon 3pm kick-offs. So, here they are:

Brighton vs Everton:
2-0
1-0
1-1

Man Utd vs Fulham:
1-1
1-0
2-1

These are trades identified by my stats, but I can’t help thinking I’ve missed a trick leaving out 2-1 to Brighton, and 2-0 to Man United. We’ll see.

Oh, and I’ve decided to drop my stakes down to £10. I’ll let you know my reasons for this in another blog post.

And lets not forget that I’m sticking with my ‘bet on City to win until the end of season’ methodology. So that’s covered for this evening’s 5:30pm kick-off.

Good luck if you are trading. And may the Lord be with you. Always!

Well, back to losing it is! But I’m not too bothered about it, as it’s not a massive loss. or certainly not as big a loss as it could have been. I’m quietly happy with how I traded. Here’s the trades that made up my £64.55 loss:

The Copenhagen vs City match I managed to get out for neither a loss nor a gain. I found myself in a good position and I could have took a small profit if I so wished, but I decided to carry on and zero out all liabilities and place a good profit on the AOA correct score result. It wasn’t to be in the end, but I’m quite happy that I could have been in a good profitable position with no risk involved. I’d take that every time in trading.

The Liverpool loss was due to me thinking that they might slip up at Brentford. I thought this would have been a lot trickier than the scoreline suggested, and at odds-on I decided to lay Liverpool.

The biggest loss was for the Man City vs Chelsea match. I did read a stat that said that since the turn of the year, if you bet on lay the draw for the Man City games then you’d be quite profitable. This has happened for the last few seasons or so, so I decided to try this out. Typically the betting gods decided to throw me a curve ball and Man City drew against Chelsea. I’m not too disheartened with the loss, as I believe that from here until the end of the season this method should be profitable. I’ve already done this method in week 16 and week 15, both of which were successful with a £32 win and £40 win respectively. So technically I’m only £28 down for this method so far.

The other notable result was the £74 win for the Everton vs Palace game. There’s not really too much to say about this, apart from the fact that it was a fire and forget trade, of which I traded out of early (so not entirely fire and forget) which cost me around £12 in profit.

Here’s how this weekly loss has effected my overall profit and loss:

I’m now at a £722 loss. Despite this, I’m just going to carry on doing what I’m doing, as I truly believe that my trades should start slowly turning in my favour. I hope, haha! Here is my trading journey so far this season in pictural form:

At least it looks as though the losses are a lot more gentle, and not as steep as they were in the beginning. Hopefully we’ll see an upward turn in both my fortunes and the graph’s trajectory very soon.

I traded tonight, and I’ll probably be trading again tomorrow night, and also at the weekend. If you are too then I wish you all the best of luck. And may the Lord be with you. As ever always.

Thankfully, I’ve managed to post a positive this week. It’s a small profit, but it’s profit, and for now that’s all I’m concerned about. This week I’ve probably done the least trades I’ve ever done in a trading week. I’m putting this down to the fact I’ve not been feeling the best of late, and only traded when I felt quietly confident the selected trade. Here’s a quick outline of my trades for this week:

I thought Man City was an easy trade, although you can’t be 100% about these things. But reading the noise around them, at the turn of the year this is when they start putting together title runs, and with Haaland and De Bruyne back to match fitness, they’re looking good for putting on yet another title run. They’ve got Chelsea at the weekend, and depending on the odds I may be tempted to trade them again as outright match winners.

The Liverpool correct score trades were flagged by my system, but unfortunately none of them never came in. And the United trade was a lay of Villa, as I thought United would at least scrape a draw, especially with the form they’ve been in.

Here’s how this week’s results has shaped my trading journey so far:

Well, the dip seems to be levelling off, and hopefully we’ll see a lot more upward turns to go along with this weeks. After the recent big losses I’m looking at digging into doing a bit more research to try and find some more winning formulas to run alongside my existing winning formula (well, it seemed to be winning last season, just not getting that much joy this season). Not sure how long this will take me but I’m going to give myself 2 weeks as of tomorrow to get something solid together to put into play for Week 19. We’ll see how that goes.

I may post something up before Saturday’s games kick off, so hopefully I’ll see you then. If you’re trading before then, good luck, and may the Lord be with you. Always!

Well, that was a mixed bag. The first two trades didn’t go as planned. The Brighton vs Palace trade was blown out of the water after only 34 minutes played. The scorelines I picked had Brighton scoring no more than 2 goals, so when the third went in after only 34 minutes played, my trades were dead in the water. For the other match I selected to trade, the AOH trade was still alive until the end, but Newcastle just couldn’t grab a late winner for me to bring it home. I did have some apprehensions about betting in Newcastle’s favour, but regardless I decided to trade what the stats told me to trade.

Having two losses out of two for the day took the wind out of my sails a little. Actually, a lot. When you’ve been on a losing streak like I have this season, you hope for little signs that your luck is turning, but today those signs weren’t showing. And when you don’t see anything to tell you to carry on, questions race through your head and you do wonder whether to bother or not. But I’ve been here before, and I know I’ve just got to dig deep and keep on with the process. Believe in myself. Believe in my stats. I know there is a life out there that will give me a much better lifestyle for me and my family. I’m not saying I’m going to be mega-rich. I’m a realist. But sports trading can give me the opportunity to grab things that were previously out of my reach. And that’s what makes me more determined than ever to make sure this works out for me. And that determination made me put the two losses I experienced earlier in the day behind me, and start looking at the stats for the Sheff United vs Aston Villa game. Revisiting the stats gave me different scorelines from my previous predictions. And thankfully so. The Gods might have been looking down on me at that moment, as my AOA scoreline came in before the second half. That meant I managed to recoup some of my losses from earlier in the day. But it also helped me to recoup some of my confidence in what I’m doing. Give me some belief that I can do this. That I can make it happen. That I can attain the lifestyle that I want for my family. And hopefully on Sunday I’ll be able to turn around this weekend’s fortunes and end it in the green.

I’m not going to put any predictions out there in this blog for Sunday’s games, as it seems they can vary greatly from when they actually get right near to kick-off, but I might post details of my trades on my Twitter/X account as the match kicks off. If you are trading then good luck. Fingers crossed it’s a green weekend.

Afternoon peeps! I’ve had a very quick look at some of the football that is on this afternoon and it’s looking as though there could be three possible trades for me to look at. These could change the nearer we get to kick off and after the teams are announced. But currently I’m looking at the following:

Brighton vs Palace

1-0
1-1
2-1

Newcastle vs Luton

2-0
AOH
1-0

Sheff Utd vs Villa

0-1
1-1
1-2

Good luck if you are doing any trades. Hopefully I’m in for a change in my luck. As ever always, if you are doing any trades then good luck, and may the Lord be with you. Always!

“How low can you go, how low can you go…..”? Well, it turns out lower than the last 9 weeks! It’s disappointing to be experiencing another loss, but I’m not getting too edgy just yet. I can’t see it carrying on for much longer. In fact, it won’t carry on for much longer. I’m going to make sure it doesn’t. We’re going to be riding those green seas soon enough! Here’s a breakdown of my £122 loss for week 10:

As you can see, there are a couple of trades that I never traded out of and stayed in (the two £90 trades, which were made up of 3 x £30 trades). The full loss was experienced for both of these selections. I did however manage to get out of one of the trades (the Luton vs Chelsea game), which thankfully meant me not adding another £30 to my loss total. As mentioned in my “In-Play Update” blog post, my trades came in for the City match but not for the Villa game, when I did think it would be the other way around. I maybe should have cut some of my losses for the Villa game, but decided not too due to me being confident in my picks. Hey-ho! It’s the Liverpool vs Newcastle match that really annoyed me. I got the correct score prediction correct (AOH), it’s just that I decided to get involved in the outright match outcome too. When Newcastle went behind for the second time I thought they might have come back into it and bagged an equaliser, so I decided to lay Liverpool, but it wasn’t to be. Serves me right I suppose for getting involved in a market I don’t touch that often. Hopefully the £34.14 it cost me will teach me a valuable lesson.

So how does this effect my current P&L figure:

It’s not good reading, and it should have been a lot less had I been a bit more proactive and also by not getting involved in markets I don’t normally touch. Here’s a the graphical representation of my journey so far:

So the graph plunges ever deeper. But I’m determined to get it on an upward swing by the end of the month. Well I say that, and I’ve mentioned it in another blog post that I’m hoping to get above zero before the end of the month, but what I didn’t realise was that there’s a week’s break in the Premier league and there’s the weekend of FA Cup matches (I don’t typically bet on the FA Cup games). So I possibly won’t be getting my head above the water any time before the end of January, but hopefully not long after.

Right, that’s it for now. I hope you all have a good weekend if you’re trading, I know I need as much luck as I can get. And may the Lord be with you…always!

This is just a very quick post to say Happy New year to you all, and I sincerely wish you all the best for a fabulous 2024.

I’ll still be carrying on this trading journey, and I am determined to make it a success more than ever. A successful side hustle will provide me with the extra money so we can enjoy life that extra bit more, and to provide my kids with things in life that they’ve yet to experience. I would love to be in a position to be giving you this opportunity too, but until I’m showing consistent profits this is something that’s going to have to wait.

With that I’ll be looking at the Liverpool vs Newcastle match tonight and I’ll be opting for the scorelines AOH, 2-0, 2-1, and a covering bet of 2-1 too. If you want to trade these scores then please feel free to jump on. But with my results being a little ropey of late, I can understand it if you didn’t.

 Another thing I’d like to do, is to grow this blog this year, so I’m hoping to be more consistent with my posts and hopefully drive more involvement. Not sure how I’m going to do this just yet, but I’ll probably be a bit more present on the social media side of things. I’m even thinking of recording my trades to video and putting these out on YouTube to try and gain some further traction. I’ll see.

Right, as I said it was only going to be a quick post to wish you all a very happy and successful New Year. I really, really hope you have a great 2024. Here’s hoping that I do too.

All the best, and may the Lord be with you. Always.

Hello folks, thought I’d just give an update on my trading on this drizzly, piss-sodden Saturday afternoon.
I’ve currently got 2 matches I’m trading in. The City vs Sheff Utd game and the Villa vs Burnley game. City are currently 1-0 up which has scuppered me a little so far as I was hoping Sheff Utd would hold out for a lot longer. And it’s 0-0 in the other match. It sounds as though City are up against 2 banks of five (according to the BBC live football feed), so hopefully Sheff Utd defend resolutely and keep City to just the one goal for now. Hopefully until the end of the 90 minutes, but I seriously doubt that will happen.

Well after writing that, Villa have just gone 1-0 up too. So that’s nice for my other bet. Thought I’d give a quick update anyway. For people’s interest I’ve done 1-0, 2-0, and AOH for both games, with 2-1 also chucked in but more as cover than anything else.

Well this week was a bit meh! A bit of a loss, but not too bad all things considered. It could have been a lot worse than what it was, so I guess a £50 loss isn’t too bad all things considered. Here’s how that amount was arrived at:

When I say things could have been a lot worse, it certainly could have been. I decided to actively intervene in this weekend’s trades to try and cut my losses. The three £50 losses shown above were from my fire-and-forget trades. Except they weren’t exactly fire-and-forget. They were more fire-and-see-what-happens-next. I think with each trade I decided to trade out early for at least one of the scorelines. So that was £75 (3 x £25) in total saved. In the end it was the right decision in terms of minimising my losses and protecting my bank, but ideally I would just like to trust the trades will come good and there would be no need for any manual intervention. But I guess with me being on a bit of a losing streak, these things need a bit more of an intervention to help me psychologically until I’ve built the bank up a bit more. Last season I had no problem letting my trades ride, but the difference was the fact that I had the winning streak first when I initially started trading, so I was playing with pure profit. Now this season, I’m experiencing the losing streak first so mentally it’s a different ball game. I think this must happen a lot to traders just starting out, and would be a good reason for them to give up early. That’s why it’s important to have a good bank behind you, to ensure you can survive the variance and to be able to trade another day.

Anyway, here’s how that loss faired when compared to my other trading weeks this season:

Here’s a graph to show how my journey so far this season. I’ve yet to get above the break-even line but I’m aiming to do that before the end of January next year:

I was thinking there were going to be a fair few games coming up, but looking at the Premier league fixtures it’s pretty much back to normality, with 4 rounds of fixtures until the end of January. Yes, there’s also the FA Cup, but I tend not to bother with cup games unless it’s possibly an all-Premier League tie. So we’ll see how that goes. If you’re trading at the weekend, then I wish you good luck. And may the Lord be with you. Always.

Merry Christmas to all my followers. I hope you have a great day tomorrow. I thought I’d just get it in early as I’ll have no time to post anything today or on Christmas day. On Boxing Day I’ll probably come back with my results for this week, with possibly a trade or two for the Boxing Day matches.

You’ll be pleased to know that I’ve managed to do alright over the last few days of trading. I’m not saying I’ve made any profits, but I have managed to limit my reds where I’ve seen that my trades were going South. So I’m quite happy with that. Also, I might have dropped onto something that will help increase my profits. I’ll take it step by step, but it’s looking alright from my initial toe-dipping. I’ll have a look at back-trading what I might have found and see what the results look like before going any further. Fingers crossed I’m onto something quite big.

Well, I’m going to wish you all the very merriest of Christmases, and I sincerely wish the best to you and your families. Enjoy, and if you are trading then may the Lord be with you. Always.

About f**king time! We got a nice juicy win people! Our fourth highest since I’ve been properly trading at the start of last season. I knew we would turn a corner at some point, I’m just hoping that I don’t turn too many corners and I start losing again! It was a good win, and the £260 green has certainly helped us in climbing out of the £600 hole we found ourselves in. Here is the breakdown of my trading results for week 8:

As you can see, there were a couple of big wins, with a disappointing result for the Man City vs Palace game. To be honest, I did think that particular match was the one I would have the most confidence in. It just shows you that things are never straight forward in football trading. I did think the odds were a bit short, and I should have looked at laying. It’s certainly something I’ll be considering should I find myself in a similar situation. I don’t particularly like laying at high odds, as if you do end up on the wrong side, you can see your bank suffer incredible damage. But sometimes if there’s value then you’ve got to take it. I should certainly look at different trading opportunities and not just keep to my one particular style of trading. As you can see, I did a little bet on the Liverpool vs Man united game by laying Liverpool at half time. At odds of 1.5 as I thought it was decent value.

Here’s how the profit gained from this week compared to my other weeks P&L totals for this season:

As you can see, that’s made a massive improvement to my current losing situation. I’m still at a loss, but there’s a small light at the end of the tunnel. I would love to go into the new year in profit, but I realise that this is a big ask. I say that, but there’s plenty of football over the festive period, so plenty of opportunities to make that possible. Anyway, here’s a visual update of my trading journey so far for this season:

So, we have our third peak of the season (I’m including week 1 as a peak as I went from £0 to £79) and I just need to try and keep it going. I’m going to try and introduce more manual trades to hopefully flatten out those dips and maximise those peaks. I do like the challenge of manual trading as it really tests me and keeps the brain ticking, but I also love having fire-and-forget trades that I know I can place and just check on them at full time. The manual trading will hopefully help in dealing with the psychological aspect of dealing with a string of losses that can occur with the fire-and-forget trades. As long as they win of course! 

So with that, I’ll bid thee a good night, and hopefully I’ll have some trades for you to look at for the weekend matches. If you are doing some trades then I wish you the best of luck. And may the Lord be with you. Always!

Hello my friends. I’m getting back into the stride of things as of this weekend, so apologies for not posting for a while. So I’m up late tonight, writing this, having a look at some of the bets and seeing if any take my fancy. The early kick-off/Merseyside derby takes my fancy. As well as the Man City match versus Brighton, and the Sheff Utd vs Man Utd game too. I’ve got a good idea of what correct scores I’ll be looking at, but I think the important thing for this season is going to be increasing my stake size. I would love to be at a place were I’m not bothered with putting £100 bets on. I want this to become normal behaviour for me and for me not to be psychologically affected using stakes of this size. For this weekend I will be hoping to be using £50 stakes. It’s a step up from my typical £25 stakes. But it’ll still take several bets for me to get used to this new stake. As with any step up in stake size I just need to believe in myself and try not let it affect my trading behaviour. After this, I then want to be staking £100. This will be an excellent place for me to be. It’ll make it all worthwhile. If I can make £100 per bet on average then I’ll be in a happy place. After that, it’s scary to think where I could take things. If I can do £100, there should be no reason why I can’t do £200. And if I can do £200, then I can do £500.

Well, that’s enough of the dreaming for now. But if you don’t have dreams or goals to aim for, then what’s the point. Last season for me it was about making a profit. This season, the goal is to at least double that profit. I’m looking to make at least £2000. If I manage to hit that before the season ends, then I’ll keep on making new goals and pursuing new dreams. I’ll be keeping a track of how I’m progressing so I can keep myself on target. So, as it was last season, I’ll be providing the usual for this season too. So that’ll be the usual graphs and tables detailing my weekly profits.

I’m going to wrap this up for now, and I may even post tomorrow if I get the chance. So if you are betting this weekend, then may the Lord be with you. Always. Oh, and gamble responsibly. I think that also needs to be said after recent events this week.

Morning folks. Bit of a late post this week as I get ready for a family member’s birthday. And probably only a quick one. I earned a profit of over £126, which is my second highest amount achieved during the season. I’m really happy with this, and it shows a good change in fortune. Here’s a screenshot of some of Week 14’s trades:

Not a bad week in all honesty. Something I did want to mention, is that at the beginning of the week and up to Saturday I was just over £100 in profit. This put me in a dilemma. I was wondering whether to just stop there for the week and not to trade on Sunday or Monday and accept the £100 profit. Thankfully, after my lessons learnt throughout this trading journey, I decided to just carry on doing what I’m doing and trade the fixtures that have been put in front of me. A wise decision as on the Sunday I added a bit more to the bank. Monday took a bit of that away, but overall I added another 25% to the bank over the 2 days.

What would I have thought if I lost a lot of money on the Sunday and Monday? I probably still would have thought that I had made the right decision. The thing is, if you do believe you have an edge, then you’ve got to utilise that edge in all circumstances. You can’t not trade because you have a “bad feeling”. A lot of my trades I’ve not held out much hope for, but they’ve surprised me and turned out winners. So you just need to trust that you’ve done your homework and you should come out on top.

So, what does that £126 do to my overall journey so far this season? Here comes the table and graph…:

With 10 games left until the end of the season, I still need to make up a fair bit of profit just to break even. Without trading the last 2 weeks, I probably need to make just over £60 profit a week over those 8 weeks. It’s doable. I just need to keep on top of my game. I decided to do a bit of maths and have a look at what increasing my stakes would do to potential profits. And if I increase my stake units by only £2, I can add an extra 33% profit (or loss, but I’m thinking positive here) to my figures. I know I need to make the step up at some point, and I’ve built a nice little bit of a bank behind me, I’m just wondering when is the best time. Looking at my P&L, my results have been all over the place this season, so that’s not much to go off. I probably just need to make a decision to increase my stakes and ensure I can absorb a few losing weeks and just keep to the new staking level. It’s something to have a good think about over the international break.

So, that’s it from me for this week. I wish you all a successful trading week. And as always…may the Lord be with you, always!

I’m happy with this weeks results of £105. The majority of the profit was done early on in the week and I could have put my feet up at the weekend. But, it’s good to press ahead despite the early gains as you never know what the future can hold. I kind of learnt this lesson from last season’s final weekend when I cashed out in a profitable position and I could have earned a far higher level of profit if I just stayed in. Here’s a breakdown of my results:

I’m made up I got off to a great start before the weekend’s set of games, with a £65 and £82 win for the Brentford vs Everton and Liverpool vs Newcastle games respectively. That made going into the weekend’s games less pressurised, which is always good when trading.

I mentioned last week about trying to make around £80 a week to turn profitable before the season ends. Week 13 has more than matched this, and given a little leeway for week 14. Whether or not I can keep this up is doubtful. There will be losses along the line, it’s just whether or not the profitable weeks will be profitable enough to cover these.

Here’s how week 13 measures up to the other preceding weeks of the season:

I’m looking forward to week 14 and the return of a full Premier League schedule. This should provide more opportunities to make a profit. It also means I need to be more on the ball and ready to trade these extra matches. Fingers crossed week 14 is another successful week. I hope it is for you guys too. And as ever always, may the Lord be with you…always!

Another losing week, but I’ve got the perfect explanation for it – emotional hedging! Yes, in my infinite wisdom I decided to get involved in a few trades that involved my team, and if the bets won then I was quids in, and if the bets lost then that meant that my team was in a better position for it. Ideally I should have kept these aside from my main bets, but I decided not to bother and I also wanted to be transparent with you all. If I never did the emotional hedging trades then I would have been approx. £140 up. But as it was, I was approx. £102 down. Here’s a summary of my trades for week 12:

You can probably spot the emotional hedged bets. These are the Arsenal vs Forest and City vs Liverpool games. It total I lost around £242. I bet on Arsenal to win, which obviously never happened, and that Liverpool would not win against City. Looking back it was a bit daft to do this. Yes, Liverpool are a step closer to winning the title, but I’m £242 down. These events would have happened if I did or didn’t make those trades. So it’s a bit stupid for me to have made those trades. From now on, I’m not going to do any further emotional hedge trades. It’s pointless, because you get a nice feeling from your team winning but you also get the pain from losing money. So the nice feeling of winning is cancelled out by the misery of a financial loss. You’re at a neutral point. If I bet on Liverpool winning then I would have really, really have enjoyed the moment. I would have made money and also seen my team pick up three points. So from now, no more emotional hedging.

Here’s how week 12 compares against the other weeks:

Hey-ho. Another terrible week but I’m putting this down to my own making. Had I just followed my normal trades then I would have made a big dent into the money lost this season. I would now be looking at a total loss of £480, which is a whole lot better than the loss of £721 I’m currently staring at.

I’m getting a little bit nervous that there’s not too many weeks left for me to turn this season around. I’m looking at having to make around £80 a week in order to break even, as I probably won’t trade the last couple of weeks. This is daunting as much as it is depressing. I’m gutted the season’s end is on the horizon as it seems like another season gone by that I’ve kind of wasted. I don’t seem to have made much progress from the last two seasons in terms of profits made. Yes I made a massive mistake and that cost me dearly. And if I spotted it sooner then I might well have been making a decent profit. But these things I should have really been on top of and tested thoroughly. Who knows, I might have a decent season yet and a strong and profitable end to it. I’ll see.

I’m trading midweek, and probably won’t trade the FA Cup games. The other main leagues should be up and running, so I’ll be keeping an eye on them too. Good luck on all your trading this week. And may the Lord be with you, as ever always!

Apologies for another late post. For clarification, this post is for the trading week 11th – 17th Feb. I decided to post midway through the trading week last week, as I was on a massive losing streak. Possibly down by around 30 points. This loss was quite large but not unexpected really, looking at some of my testing. I decided to post early as I was confident that I could pull some of that back. It was just to show that you shouldn’t lose faith in your system or yourself, and you should just carry on through the storm!

So, how did I get on after my post on Saturday? Well, I was £294 down at that point, and I managed to pull it back to…<DRUM ROLL>…£207 down. So between Saturday night and Monday night I managed to make around £87. Not a ground breaking amount, but losing £207 is a lot easier on the wallet than losing £294. Here’s a screenshot of some of those trades that made up my total loss of £207 for week 11:

I wasn’t too disheartened with losing that amount, as I was kind of expecting a loss after consecutive winning weeks. It does get you a bit disheartened when you realise that it does wipe out the last 2 weeks of profit and more! HAHA! But that’s all part of the dance. You’re up, you’re down, up, down, up, down. You’ve just got to keep on going and hopefully in the end you’ll have a profit to show.

You’ll noticed I’m still covering some of my correct score predictions with trades on the overs market, so that if any late goals do come along I’m hopefully covered for them. You’ll notice I’ve done this for the Leeds match near the top of my screenshot. There were a couple of late goals which sank my correct score predictions, but that meant that my overs trades came in. This meant a small profit was made, instead of a £12 loss. So it’s thing like this which is helping me to become a bit more profitable. Or at least not lose as much. You will also notice that I covered my Liverpool vs Wolves correct score predictions, but this wasn’t necessary as they came in. This meant £7.84 was taken out of my overall profits. But overall this strategy has saved me more than cost me.

Here’s how week 11 measures up to my previous trading weeks profit and loss, and how it affects my trading journey:

Oh well. I’m hoping for a better week this week. I know you can’t expect to have a winning week after a losing week. Trading doesn’t work like that. I could have another losing week. A small winning week. An even bigger losing week! It’s all variable, but looking at my testing I should have a decent week (fingers crossed).

Good luck if you’re trading this weekend. I wish you nothing but profits. And may the Lord be with you. Always.

Well, well, well. Another green for the second week on the bounce. It was £67, which is more than half of the profit I got for Week 9, but a very welcome change in fortune. I would like to think that this stems from the fact that I’ve resolved the issue I found within my Excel spreadsheet, but without breaking down the figures I can’t say for certain. It may actually be more down to a change in fortune. But I’m pretty sure it’s more the former than the latter. Anyway, here’s a look at some of my trades for week 10:

I’m very happy with my results this week, especially so after Saturday’s results (£63 down). I started to feel negative about the whole thing again. Even after posting a win for week 9, I started thinking that I was staring yet another losing week in the face. It wasn’t a big loss but enough for me to start questioning why I’m doing all this. Thankfully I stuck with it and pulled the results around on Sunday and Monday. And this is what I’ve got to keep doing. I’ve got to keep believing in what I’m doing and think of the bigger picture. The figures show if I keep on this track then I should be alright. I think the losing weeks have knocked the stuffing out of me. And even after being able to put a large portion of this down to an identified issue, the losses have still left their mark psychologically. A few more winning weeks and I’ll soon be fine!

I’ve also noticed something very interesting with my selected trades. I typically select my correct scorelines and I usually see them out until the final whistle. On Saturday this resulted in losses. However, when I was checking these trades around the 60-70 minute mark, I’ve been seeing a alright-ish green for the majority of trades. Granted it’s not as much as what I could get if I was just to let them run, but it’s made me think about doubling my stake and then cashing out half of this stake when I am in a good green position, and letting the other half run until the end. Yes, this could mean there will be some games were I spectacularly crash and burn, but for the majority of trades I should be okay based off what I’ve been experiencing. I may keep an eye on this over the next 2 weeks and see if this is something worth pursuing.

Also, in recent weeks I have noticed that some of my trades have resulted in a total loss due to one of the teams scoring a last minute goal. I’ve noticed this has been happening quite regularly (but this might just be a recently bias thing). This weekend I decided to enter the Overs market for any trades that looked like they were going to win, just to provide a safety net if a late goal was scored. If you look at my trades in the screenshot above, you can see this happening. There are three games were I’ve covered my stake in the Overs market. Two never come in, but one did. This resulted in an overall profit of just over £3.84p. So at the moment this has been deemed worthwhile. I’ll keep my eye on this and see how it goes over the weeks.

Anyway, here’s how the profit for Week 10 compares to the previous weeks P&L:

As mentioned previously, I’m happy that I’m posting a green. I realise that I need to be patient and just take every week as they come and try not to push things. Hopefully I’ll be carrying on with the upward trend that the graph seems to be showing. I know I’ve got an afternoon with the family on Saturday, so I may be a bit light on the trading front for then, but hopefully I won’t miss too much. Well, not too many profitable trades anyway. The losing ones I don’t mind missing.

Well I’ll leave it there for now. If you’re trading this week then good luck. And may the Lord be with you. Always!

Apologies for the late posting of week 7’s results. Week 7 covers from the 14th Jan to the 20th January inclusive, so this post is very much overdue. The losses for week 7 were £163 and here’s a screenshot of some of those trades below:

I’d like to say that this is just an exceptionally bad run, and I feel I’m being hit from pillar to post, but this just seems so out of place. I’ve checked the figures against previous seasons and it just seems like this season is a bit of a nominally. I shouldn’t be going on this bad of a run! I’d expect to have losses as part of my sports trading journey, but the amount of losing weeks and the actual amount of those losses is just not right. That week 1 seems a long, long way away now! Here’s the latest weekly figures anyway, there’s not much else to say:

Hmm, not much to say here really either. Too much red in the table, and the graph should not be sloping down. I need to do better, and that’s what I aimed to do in week 8. If you’re trading this week then good luck, and may the Lord be with you. Always!

Hello everyone. I’ve had a real rollercoaster of emotions this trading week. And I’ll be honest, it’s mostly been downs rather than ups. On a sidenote and thinking a little deeper on the roller coaster analogy, for ‘ups’ and ‘downs’ – if you’re ‘down’ emotionally that means you’re not in a good place. But on a roller coaster, going down (to me anyway) is the best bit – you’re typically going really fast and enjoying the brief thrill of excitement. However, going ‘up’ on a roller coaster is the boring bit. But being ‘up’ emotionally paints a picture that you’re happy and enjoying life. Anyway, what I’m trying to say is that my emotions and trading was pretty down in the dumps this week. i.e. not good. I experienced a loss of £81, but don’t worry as I’m not too down as this could very easily have been a lot better had I not been a bit of a knob. Here’s a screenshot of some of my trades for week 6:

So what went wrong then? Well, you’ll noticed a deficit of £56 at the bottom of the screen for the Everton vs Peterborough FA Cup game on Thursday (9th January). I decided to have a “fun” bet and lay the 2-0 scoreline, as I didn’t think Everton would score two goals, and that Peterborough would have possibly scored a goal. Also the odds of around 6.6 looked decent enough value for me to lay. Obviously I was gutted when Everton scored that late second goal, but I could have lessened the red by either cashing out earlier in the game, or by placing a counter-bet in a different market e.g. the over 1.5 market. Ultimately though, I could have avoided the red altogether by sticking to my plan and not do any “fun” trades that don’t form part of my plan!

Secondly, there is also an amount of £3.92 that I won on the Genoa vs Parma game on the Sunday (12th January). I did look at this as it seemed a low amount considering what I staked on it and the odds of the winning correct score, which I think was around 9s. When I dug a little deeper I found out that only £2 was taken of my £6 stake. With hindsight, once I placed my trades I should have ensured that all stakes were taken before moving onto the next trade. So this was all my fault and it looks like I missed out on an additional £32 worth of profit. Taking both these scenarios into account, I could well have found myself ever so slightly in the green for trading week 6. So I’m taking this away as a stark lesson for me to learn from, but also not to beat myself up too much as it could have been so different.

Anyway, here’s my weekly P&L so far, and what my P&L journey looks like so far:

Yes, this doesn’t look good, but I know that I’ve made a few mistakes which means it’s not as bad as it looks. It could be better. I need to cut out the mistakes and be a bit more professional about my trading. This downward slope I think will be taking a little upturn soon, I’m sure. I just need to keep the faith and carry on. What I will say is that I’ve struggled this week. Especially on Saturday and early Sunday. It was only after results turned around that I felt in a better place. I’ll have a think about putting my thoughts down in a separate blog post about this. It won’t be anything massive, but it’ll be something that may resonate with a few of you and hopefully prove to be useful.

Good luck with your trading peeps, and may the Lord be with you…always!